Even in the southern battlefield where the russian army is advancing relatively smoothly, russia may not be able to complete the phased tasks. The russian army failed to reach odessa in the first place, connecting with the republic of moldavia along the nestor river (russia's puppet state on the moldovan border), and eating the entire ukrainian coastline. Breaking through zaporozhye from the south is an illusion that was shattered early, and ukraine on the left bank could not eat it, let alone enter lviv to cut off western supply lines.
Up to now, the russian army may not be able to capture mariupol. The ukrainian army still maintains combat capability on the ukrainian coastline on the left bank, and even destroyed the russian landing ship in berdyansk in the past two days. Although logo design kherson and melitopol have established puppet mayors, the zelensky government has not been idle. Internationally, it has vigorously accused russia of attempting to establish a puppet state in kherson, leaving no room for russia to compromise.
How important is kherson? This is the largest city that the russian army has captured so far. It controls the estuary of the nieper river and holds kherson to ensure the coastline of ukraine and crimea on the left bank, otherwise the russian army will not be peaceful for a day. However, since the ukrainian army launched a counterattack, not only did they keep odessa and recapture nikolayev, but now they attacked the russian army in kherson more fiercely. According to the analysis of satellite images by the new york times, russia has removed all aircraft in kherson. It can be seen that the plight of the local russian army is getting bigger and bigger, but the morale of the ukrainian army has not decreased but increased.